Ten more years of life in GSM, at least
It is a personal view held, but I believe there is still 10 years of life left for GSM, and that is at the very least. That view is not arrived at by wishful thinking. World trends tend to indicate this transmission technology will run and run. Recently, reviewing the Annual report and analysis of competitive market conditions with respect to commercial mobile services, and the hearing into International settlements policy reform and international settlement rates, roaming termination charges alone are estimated at $50 billion worldwide. Putting aside financial revenue issues, there are still countries developing GSM networks (China's market, possibly the largest in the world). Equally, new GSM networks are being installed globally. All in all, to view the development of 3G in the UK as an immediate successor to GSM might be premature, and from a global perspective rather parochial viewpoint. In talking to some TSUs about examinations, approx. 12% of mobiles and SIMs are from overseas. Therefore mobile telephone evidence does not appear to be diminishing.
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